Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Qinwen Zheng Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Analyzing the current performance statistics of Alexandrova and Zheng provides insight into predicting their upcoming tennis match. Over the last six months, Alexandrova has won 40% of points on her second serve, while Zheng has slightly outperformed with 42.67%. This statistic often correlates highly with match prediction accuracy.

In return game performance, Alexandrova seems slightly ahead, winning 51.41% of her opponent's second serve points recently. In comparison, Zheng has succeeded in winning 50.06% in similar scenarios. When it comes to the first serve returns, Alexandrova holds an advantage, capturing 30.95% over Zheng’s 25.25%. Such data significantly influences who might be favored in their head-to-head matches.

Speaking of head-to-head confrontations, Alexandrova has emerged victorious in both of their previous matchups with an overall set score of 4-2. Their most recent encounter was at the Mutua Madrid Open on clay, where Alexandrova won in three sets: 5-7, 6-4, 6-2.

Over the past year, Alexandrova has saved 50.23% of break points against her, slightly outperforming Zheng's 48.96% in this critical area. In terms of match performance, Zheng holds a higher win percentage, having secured victory in 74.24% of her matches (49 wins to 17 losses), compared to Alexandrova’s 52.08% (25 wins to 23 losses).

The choice of surface might also play a decisive role. Alexandrova favors Indoor Hard surfaces, where she has a career win rate of 69%, whereas her performance on Hard courts is notably lower at 55%. Zheng, however, excels on clay with a 77% win rate but struggles on grass with only 27%. This surface-based performance could be pivotal in predicting the match outcome.

Looking through the lens of competitive level, Alexandrova has been more active in the Main Tour, maintaining a win rate of 61.54% over the past year. Zheng, conversely, has concentrated more on Masters series events, achieving a higher win rate of 65.63%. This context provides additional layers to consider based on the event's level.

When evaluating break point conversions, Zheng has a slight edge, converting 39.33% of opportunities into breaks compared to Alexandrova’s 32.73%. Additionally, the quality of opponents faced differs, with Alexandrova’s opponents averaging a rank of 60.92, whereas Zheng’s average is 105.59.

In summary, the statistical analysis suggests that Zheng has a stronger recent form in several key areas, such as overall match win percentage and break point conversion. However, Alexandrova has the edge in head-to-head history and return game performance, hinting that the match might be tightly contested. Yet, based on the broader stats, Zheng could potentially edge out a victory in their upcoming encounter.